One hundred days into his new administration, President Trump has the backing of a majority of Oklahoma likely voters, according to the most recent SoonerPoll Quarterly Poll.

Fifty-seven percent of likely voting Oklahomans had a favorable impression of him, while just more than one in three had an unfavorable opinion. This result is a few points lower than his win percentage in the state last November but within the margin of error of the poll.

“It’s probably safe to say that President Trump isn’t broadening his base after the first 100 days,” said Bill Shapard, founder of SoonerPoll.com, “But, those that voted for him seem to be sticking with him for the time being.”

By about this time into the first 100 days of former President Obama, Oklahomans had already begun to give up on him.

[QUESTION] I am going to read to you a list of individuals. For each one, please tell me whether you have a FAVORABLE or UNFAVORABLE opinion. [PROBE: VERY/SOMEWHAT]  DONALD TRUMP

1. Very favorable 30.9
2. Somewhat favorable 26.4
COMBINED FAVORABLE 57.3
3. Don’t know/No opinion/Refused [DNR] 7.3
4. Somewhat unfavorable 9.5
5. Very unfavorable 26.0
COMBINED UNFAVORABLE 35.5

Looking further into the poll results, 78.2 percent of Republicans had a favorable opinion of Trump, while just under half, 49.2 percent, of Independents had one.  A little more than a third of Democrats, 34.9 percent, had a favorable opinion, but 58.7 percent had an unfavorable one.

Trump, like Obama before him, is still very polarizing when is comes to the views of Oklahomans by political ideology. Among self-identified Conservatives, 82.2 percent had a favorable view, while 77.5 percent of self-identified Liberals had an unfavorable one.  Moderates were more split but a majority, 54.8 percent, had an unfavorable view of Trump and 36.3 percent had a favorable one.

There was also significant differences among likely voting Oklahomans by age. While those 65 years and old had a much more favorable opinion at 64.9 percent, those under the age of 35 were much more split with slightly less than half favorable, yet still a plurality, towards him and 45 percent unfavorable.

“At this point only time will tell whether Trump can grow this support among more moderate voters and/or more younger voters,” Shapard said.

About the Poll

SoonerPoll.com, Oklahoma’s public opinion pollster, asked these questions of Oklahoma likely voters as part of the SoonerPoll Quarterly Poll.

The scientific study was conducted from April 25 – May 1, 2017 with 409 likely Oklahoma voters selected at random statewide from a tri-frame of both landline telephone and cell phones, plus a online panel from Research Now. The sample was weighted by age, political party, and congressional district in order to reflect the Oklahoma likely voter population for a general election. The weighting was conducted using a ‘layered technique.’

The sample reflects the traditional demographical profile of the Oklahoma likely voter with roughly half of respondents identifying as conservative and attending religious services once or more per week. The study has a Margin of Error (MoE) of ± 4.84 percent.

This poll not only conforms to the Standards of Disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls but exceeds the standard disclosure with a Call Disposition and Rate Calculation Report. A complete description of the methodology can be found here.

The poll’s Call Disposition and Rate Calculation Report can be viewed here.  A beta version of the Weighting Table Report can be viewed here.

SHARE
Previous articleHow unpopular is Governor Fallin? Kevin Durant is more popular.
Next articleOklahomans believe wind industry should pay sales tax like everyone else
Bill is the founder of SoonerPoll.com and ShapardResearch, a full service market research firm based in Oklahoma City. Bill began his career in polling after working on a major campaign in Oklahoma from 1996 until founding SoonerPoll in 2004. Under Bill’s leadership, SoonerPoll has become the leading public opinion polling company in the state of Oklahoma conducting more public opinion polls for Oklahoma news media than all other pollsters combined since 2006. Bill’s commitment to go above and beyond the AAPOR ethical guidelines of minimum disclosure ensures that SoonerPoll produces quality results every time. Bill has lectured at Oklahoma State University on developing polling methodologies, data collection processes, and advanced likely voter sampling techniques. Bill also serves as an on-air political commentator for Oklahoma television stations.

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here