Oklahoma Political Environment Features Falling Approval of All Gubernatorial Candidates

on Apr 23, 10 • by • with 3 Comments

Most recent SoonerPoll results show declining favorability for all major Democratic and Republican candidates for Governor since our January 2010 poll.  The decline in favorability of the candidates accompanies ongoing declines in approval for governmental institutions among voters nationwide. “The political...
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Most recent SoonerPoll results show declining favorability for all major Democratic and Republican candidates for Governor since our January 2010 poll.  The decline in favorability of the candidates accompanies ongoing declines in approval for governmental institutions among voters nationwide.

“The political debate in the country has grown more acrimonious, from the local to the national level,” noted SoonerPoll’s Keith Gaddie. “The result of contentious debates over issues such as health care is declining approval of parties and institutions.   That decline is rippling through to both Democratic and and Republican candidates.”

SoonerPoll.com, Oklahoma’s public opinion pollster, conducted the scientific study using live interviewers by telephone of 500 likely voters from April 5 – 12. The study has a margin of error of ± 4.38 percent.

Complete Results and Analysis

Attorney General Edmondson saw a 7.2 point drop in favorability, the largest of any candidates.

However, Edmondson maintains a 7 point lead, virtually the same as in January, over his opponent Lieutenant Governor Jari Askins who dropped 6.9 points in the poll.

Among self identifying liberals in Oklahoma Edmondson leads Askins in favorability by an even larger margin, 56.4 percent to 47.3 percent.

U.S. House Representative Mary Fallin’s favorability dropped from 54.4 percent in January to 50.2 percent now.  Her favorability still far out-strips that of her primary opponent, State Senator Randy Brogdon. Brogdon’s favorability numbers dropped from 12.9 percent to 11.2 percent.

Brogdon’s greatest struggle in this race is with name recognition; three-quarters of Oklahomans had insufficient information to form an opinion of the Owasso Republican, despite his earned media during the 2010 legislative session.

In a SoonerPoll survey from March 2009, 92.6 percent of respondents said they had no opinion of or had never heard of Brogdon. Brogdon has had success dropping that number, getting it as low as 66.3 percent in January before rising to 75 percent this April.

Although Brogdon has had success getting his name out, it has not always won him supporters. Polling data shows that his favorable opinions have stayed consistent with his unfavorable numbers.

“For every one person that learns about Brogdon and finds him favorable, it seems like someone else learns about him and finds him unfavorable,” observed SoonerPoll’s Keith Gaddie. “That phenomenon is the trademark of a divisive candidate.”

Among self identified conservatives in Oklahoma, Fallin leads Brogdon in favorability by a large margin, 60.7 percent to 14.2 percent..

Although Mary Fallin has the highest favorability numbers and a large lead over Brogdon, her favorability has dropped 13.7 points since April of 2009.

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3 Responses to Oklahoma Political Environment Features Falling Approval of All Gubernatorial Candidates

  1. joe conner says:

    the pool sounds strange. what happened to the money bag held by edminson? donation to falin to put her in first so voters might see her as a winner, then comes the democrats changing over to edminson, a old trick of those who are slick willies.
    Look what we got with the great changer , O Bama will hurt the democrats terribly especially in Oklahoma , Please pray and vote REPUBLICAN, for our sake.

  2. Jim McClarin says:

    I’m impressed with what I’ve seen from Brogdon. Very articulate defense of the principles upon which America was founded. Great dedication to enforcing the constitutional rights of states not to be subsumed in an ever-expanding federal government. I can see where many who have grown dependent on the taxpayer would rail against the change he calls for but in truth, if government spending is not cut, all are in for a very rough ride. Brogdon offers a bitter but life-saving medicine out of compassion.

  3. Maurice McRee says:

    Brogdon is obviously to the right of David Duke. Being an air-conditioning contractor neither makes him qualified for governor nor dog catcher. He would be an embarrassment to the state. Fallin has been a rubber stamp of the U.S. House minority leadership; no independence. We Okies deserve better. That leaves the two Democrats. Both Askins and Edmondson are qualified to be governor: being Lt Gov. and Attorney General respectively. They would I believe, govern in a similar mode as current Governor Henry, who has steadily grown in stature over the last 8 years.

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