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Oklahoma City, OKLA – New poll results from SoonerPoll reveals Oklahoma public opinion of key issues pertaining to the recent health care reform law’s passage.

SoonerPoll.com, Oklahoma’s public opinion pollster, conducted the scientific study using live interviewers by telephone of 500 likely voters from April 5 – April12, 2010. The study has a margin of error of ± 4.38 percent.

Results and Analysis

Results of the poll indicate discontent among Oklahomans

  • 56 percent of likely Oklahoma voters believe Attorney General Drew Edmondson should join other Attorneys General in filing suit against the recently passed health care reform law
  • 65.4 percent of likely Oklahoma voters disapprove of the recently [passed health care reform law
  • 58.2 percent of likely Oklahoma voters approve of amending the state constitution to allow Oklahoma to opt out of the federal health care system
  • 63.6 percent of likely Oklahoma voters believe that the new health care reform law will hurt the economy
  • 68.2 percent of likely Oklahoma voters do not believe the new health care reform law will lower health care costs
  • 80.4 percent of likely Oklahoma voters believe Americans should not be penalized for not purchasing health care insurance
  • 78 percent of likely Oklahoma voters believe that taxpayer funds should not be used to pay for abortions

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A recent SoonerPoll finds Mary Fallin and Jari Askins as front runners in the next governor race among likely Oklahoma voters.

The poll which asked voters who they would vote for if the gubernatorial election were held today, found that Republicans favored Mary Fallin, the Congresswoman for Oklahoma’s 5th congressional district, while Democrats favored Jari Askins, the Lieutenant Governor of Oklahoma.

Fallin leads the polls as the Republican candidate, with 45.3 percent of republicans polled saying they would vote for her if the election was held now. Fallin’s 45.3 percent is a substantial lead, nearly 20 points higher than the Republicans next choice former congressman J. C. Watts.

Jari Askins leads as the Democratic candidate with 33.9 percent of democrats polled saying they would vote for her if the election were held today. Askins leads Attorney General Drew Edmondson by just over 5 points. The 5 point lead is within the margin of error and sets up a close race between the Democrats.

SoonerPoll’s public opinion polls use a scientific random sample to consistently test Oklahoma’s likeliest voters’ political views and track them over time. The survey used in this analysis had a sample sizes of 318 Oklahoma residents (with a margin of error of ± 5.5%). The study used in this release was conducted via telephone between April 23-26, 2009.

If the race for Oklahoma Governor were held today…

• Those who consider themselves as very conservative in their political beliefs were over 11 points more likely to say they’d vote for Fallin over Watts and those who consider themselves as somewhat conservative 41 points more than Watts;
• Those who consider themselves Evangelical Christians were 21.3 points more likely to say they’d vote for Fallin over Watts;
• Fallin received more support in this poll from the district she currently serves and Congresswomen (84.6%) as well as the Congressional District represented by Congressman Frank Lucas (R) (66.7%) than the other three Oklahoma Congressional Districts;
• Watts received more support in this poll from the Congressional District represented by Congressman John Sullivan (R) (57.1%) than the other four districts;
• Those residing in the Oklahoma City MSA (metropolitan statistical area) were 48 points more likely than those residing in Tulsa and 20.9 points more likely than those residing in rural Oklahoma to say they’d vote for Fallin;
• Those residing in the Tulsa MSA were 37.2 points more likely than those residing in OKC and 15.6 points more likely than those residing in rural Oklahoma to say they’d vote for Watts;
• Those who have an unfavorable opinion of the Oklahoma Republican Party are 14.3 points more likely and those who have an unfavorable opinion of the National Republican Party are 31 points more likely to vote for Fallin over Watts in a race for Oklahoma Governor;
• Those who have an unfavorable opinion of the Oklahoma Democratic Party are 41.2 points more likely and those who have an unfavorable opinion of the National Democratic party are 30.4 points more likely to vote for Askins over Edmondson in a race for Oklahoma Governor.

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The latest SoonerPoll of likely Oklahoma gubernatorial primary voters carries good news for Congresswoman Mary Fallin and Attorney General Drew Edmondson – both are favored to win their party nominations for governor. Fallin held a commanding 53.0%-31.1% lead over district 4 Congressman Tom Cole in the Republican primary sample, while state senator Randy Brogdon trailed. On the Democratic side, Edmondson led Lieutenant Governor Jari Askins 41.9%-28.7%.

Rep. Fallin enjoys especially strong name familiarity and very high positives, especially among core Republican voters. Fallin was highly favored my male and female voters, and had the strongest favorables and is preferred across every voter demographic, inlcuding married and single voters.

Congressman Cole’s name identification is weak among Republicans compared to Rep. Fallin. His favorables are weaker among those core GOP voters who are the most likely to vote. Senator Randy Brogdon enjoyed little familiarity or support among voters. His numbers track closely with early numbers for other state lawmakers in their initial run for statewide office. He has substantial gorund to make up in name familiarity, but also substantial time to do so (filing is 14 months away).

On the Democratic side, Attorney General Edmondson enjoys stronger favorables and higher support, but it is notable that many high-propensity voters are not familiar with any of the aspirants for governor. Edmondson enjoys broader support across the entire state, while Askins familiarity and support are stronger central, southwestern, and western Oklahoma.

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