Attorney General Mike Hunter has a comfortable lead going into the general election in November, according to the most recent statewide poll commissioned by News 9 and Newson6 in Tulsa.
Hunter leads his Democrat challenger, Mark Myles, by 18 points. Myles did not have a primary challenger and the general election will mark the first time his name has appeared on the ballot this year. Hunter, meanwhile, has appeared twice on the ballot this year and survived a strong challenge in the both the primary and the run-off election, beating Gentner Drummond by just about 260 votes.
“Without a doubt, Hunter is benefiting from having been on the ballot twice this year already,” said Bill Shapard, founder of SoonerPoll.com. “Myles now has just 60 days to introduce himself to the voters.”
|1. Mike Hunter, the Republican||52.1%|
|2. Mark Myles, the Democrat||34.2|
|3. Undecided/not sure [DNR]||13.7|
Hunter commanded 79.5 percent of his own party’s support and had a party crossover advantage by 11 points. A party crossover vote is calculated by taking the opposing party’s support for a particular candidate and subtracting from it any loss of support among the candidate’s own party to their opponent.
Hunter had the vast support of conservatives, who make up about half of the electorate, and Myles had the vast support of liberals, who make up about 20 percent of the electorate. Both results were expected given their respective party affiliation.
Interestingly, Myles led Hunter by just over 20 points among self-identified moderate voters, who make up about a third of the electorate.
Hunter had strong leads among voters over the age of 45, high church attendance voters, evangelicals, and both men and women. Hunter also led in both major cities of Tulsa and Oklahoma City, as well as the rural areas of the state.
About the Poll
SoonerPoll.com, Oklahoma’s public opinion pollster, conducted the poll of Oklahoma likely voters, which was commissioned by News9 and Newson6.
The scientific study was conducted September 5-10, 2018 with 407 likely voters selected at random statewide from a tri-frame of SoonerPoll’s own online panel, cell phones and landline telephones. For cell phone and landline telephones, voters are selected at random from SoonerPoll’s voter database and matched with cell and landline phone numbers. Cell phone participants are collected using live interviewers and landline participants are collected using both live interviewer and IVR (Interactive Voice Response) technology. The sample was weighted by age, political party, and congressional district in order to reflect the Oklahoma likely voter population.
The sample reflects the traditional demographical profile of the Oklahoma likely voter with roughly half of respondents identifying as conservative. The study has a Margin of Error (MoE) of ±4.86 percent.