Nearly 70 percent of likely voting Oklahomans support a proposal of tax increases and governmental reforms that would provide relief to a state budget impasse and give teachers in the state a $5000 pay increase, according to the most recent SoonerPoll.

CLICK HERE TO DOWNLOAD THE REPORT

“I believe, had we polled a proposal similar to this 6 months to a year ago, we would not have found such broad-based support for such a plan,” said Bill Shapard, founder of SoonerPoll. “Voters today are hungry for a solution to a problem that has plagued our state for far too long.”

[QUESTION] Would you SUPPORT or OPPOSE a comprehensive package of tax increases [LISTED HERE] if you were assured by additional governmental reforms that the additional funding would go ONLY to solve the current state budget deficit of $100 million, give teachers a $5000 increase in pay, and avoid future revenue shortfalls such as this one?

1. Strongly support 41.8%
2. Somewhat support 27.4
COMBINED SUPPORT 69.2
3. Don’t know/Refused [DNR] 6.3
4. Somewhat oppose 10.8
5. Strongly oppose 13.6
COMBINED OPPOSE 24.4

Nearly 72 percent of Democrats supported the comprehensive plan along with nearly 73 percent of Independent voters, but surprisingly, 66.4 percent of Republicans also supported the plan.

“Anti-tax Republicans need to understand their party is not monolithic in its thinking and there are a lot of Republicans in the state that believe government needs to meet its constitutional requirement of a balanced budget — even if that means an increase in taxes,” Shapard said.

A plurality of 43.4 percent of likely voters believed income taxes were too high in the state, but even 63.1 percent of these voters supported the Step Up proposal.

“This shows me voters view the current state budget impasse as a crisis that needs to be solved now,” said Shapard. “And they see this plan, that asks all Oklahomans to step up together and pay a portion to solve it, as the answer.”

SoonerPoll has polled various tax increases or new taxes in the past and typically found that Oklahomans oppose such measures.

“In general, neither Democrats nor Republicans want to raise taxes,” said Shapard. “That’s why the support for this proposal is so unusual because, again, Oklahomans want this crisis to end.”

Shapard went on to note that the lengthy list of well-respected business and community leaders behind the Step Up plan was also contributing to its support of voters.

Support was consistent among various demographical subsets including education, gender, age and where one might live in the state.

Sixty percent of households making under $25,000 in total income supported the plan as well as 73 percent of households making $125,000 or more.

About the Poll

SoonerPoll.com, Oklahoma’s public opinion pollster, conducted the poll of Oklahoma likely voters and was commissioned by the Step Up Coalition.

The scientific study was conducted from January 30 – February 5, 2018 with 409 likely Oklahoma voters selected at random statewide from a tri-frame of both landline telephone and cell phones, plus a online panel from Research Now. The sample was weighted by age, political party, sex and congressional district in order to reflect the Oklahoma likely voter population for a primary election. The weighting was conducted using a ‘layered technique.’

The sample reflects the traditional demographical profile of the Oklahoma likely voter with roughly half of respondents identifying as conservative and attending religious services once or more per week. The study has a Margin of Error (MoE) of ± 4.85 percent.

This poll not only conforms to the Standards of Disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls but exceeds the standard disclosure with a Call Disposition and Rate Calculation Report. A complete description of the methodology can be found here.

The poll’s Call Disposition and Rate Calculation Report can be viewed here.  A beta version of the Weighting Table Report can be viewed here.

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Bill is the founder of SoonerPoll.com and ShapardResearch, a full service market research firm based in Oklahoma City. Bill began his career in polling after working on a major campaign in Oklahoma from 1996 until founding SoonerPoll in 2004. Under Bill’s leadership, SoonerPoll has become the leading public opinion polling company in the state of Oklahoma conducting more public opinion polls for Oklahoma news media than all other pollsters combined since 2006. Bill’s commitment to go above and beyond the AAPOR ethical guidelines of minimum disclosure ensures that SoonerPoll produces quality results every time. Bill has lectured at Oklahoma State University on developing polling methodologies, data collection processes, and advanced likely voter sampling techniques. Bill also serves as an on-air political commentator for Oklahoma television stations.

7 COMMENTS

  1. I OPPOSE ANY and ALL TAX INCREASES till THE GOVERNMENT LEARNS HOW TO SPEND APPROPRIATELY.
    PERIOD………………….. AND I FIND THAT THIS POLL IS WAY OFF COMPARED TO THE PEOPLE I HAVE ASKED OR ALREADY KNOW THEIR OPINION. ESPECIALLY NOW THAT WE HAVE A TAX BREAK ON OUR INCOMES, GAS PRICES ARE ALREADY ON THE RISE AND YES I SMOKE BUT I ALSO HAVE NO MAJOR HEALTH PROBLEMS AND I PAY FOR MY OWN INSURANCE, I’M NOT ON SOONER CARE OR MEDICARE EITHER. I ALSO HAVE SEVERAL FAMILY MEMBERS WHO ARE TEACHERS HERE IN OKLAHOMA. YES GIVE THEM A RAISE. BUT THEN YOU’LL TURN AROUND AND TAKE MORE STATE INCOME TAXES OUT. WHAT HAPPENED TO ALL THE INDIAN MONEY FROM THE CASINOS THAT WAS SUPPOSED TO GO TOWARD EDUCATION? WHERE IS THAT MONEY?
    ALL I CAN SAY IS NO NO NO NO NO NO NO MORE TAXES……………………………………………………………..

  2. I wish I could have gotten to voice my extreme displeasure with this measure. It’s ridiculous and this state will be back here in the same situation in just a few short years again.

  3. Cut spending first! Our elected officials need a pay cut because they haven’t done anything for the past 4 years! Voting all of them out!

  4. If this is a true poll then it’s time to take this out of the hands of politicians and let the people vote on this. We the people can either get it done or not.

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