OKLAHOMA CITY -Oklahomans will vote Tuesday on several key races, including a Governor’s battle, that is much closer than anyone expected.

Our final exclusive pre-election poll shows Democrat challenger Joe Dorman has closed the gap against Governor Mary Fallin.

Right now Fallin has 48 percent of the votes and still leads Dorman who trails with forty percent. But Dorman has gained a lot of ground going into Tuesday’s election.

Over the course of three months Dorman has cut an 18-point gap to eight points. Our pollster says Dorman is getting help from one-in-five Republicans who say they’ll vote for him.

“Joe Dorman has attracted a considerable amount of conservative votes which make up fifty percent of our electorate here in the state of Oklahoma,” said CEO Bill Shapard. “It just may prove to not be enough in a year when Democrats are struggling even at a nationwide basis.”

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Bill is the founder of and ShapardResearch, a full service market research firm based in Oklahoma City. Bill began his career in polling after working on a major campaign in Oklahoma from 1996 until founding SoonerPoll in 2004. Under Bill’s leadership, SoonerPoll has become the leading public opinion polling company in the state of Oklahoma conducting more public opinion polls for Oklahoma news media than all other pollsters combined since 2006. Bill’s commitment to go above and beyond the AAPOR ethical guidelines of minimum disclosure ensures that SoonerPoll produces quality results every time. Bill has lectured at Oklahoma State University on developing polling methodologies, data collection processes, and advanced likely voter sampling techniques. Bill also serves as an on-air political commentator for Oklahoma television stations.


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