Governor
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April 4, 2018
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Bill Shapard

News9/NewsOn6: Poll Shows Runoff Likely In Republican Race For Governor

BY NEWS ON 6 STAFF

An exclusive News On 6 poll asked more than 550 likely voters for their thoughts on who they'd vote for in the race for governor.

CLICK HERE FOR A COMPLETE TOPLINE AND CROSSTAB REPORT

In the Republican race, 22% of likely Republican voters said they support former Oklahoma City mayor Mick Cornett. Lieutenant Governor Todd Lamb is second with 21.2%. No other candidate tops 8% in the poll.

Undecideds among all Republicans were at 35.5%. However, in Oklahoma's 1st Congressional district, a seat currently held by Rep. Jim Bridenstine, undecideds are at 49.3%.

[QUESTION] If the Republican primary election for governor was TODAY and you were standing in the voting booth RIGHT NOW and had to make a choice, for whom would you vote? [READ IN RANDOM ORDER]

1. Mick Cornett 22.0%
2. Todd Lamb 21.2
3. Kevin Stitt 7.8
4. Gary Richardson 7.2
5. Dan Fisher 3.7
6. Gary Jones 2.6
7. Undecided 35.5

Among the Democrats running for governor, former Oklahoma Attorney General Drew Edmondson is the leader, with 34% of Democrat voters saying they support him. Former state senator Connie Johnson is second with about 12%.

Undecideds on the Democrat side were just shy of 50%.

[QUESTION] If the Democratic primary election for governor was TODAY and you were standing in the voting booth RIGHT NOW and had to make a choice, for whom would you vote? [READ IN RANDOM ORDER]

1. Drew Edmondson 34.2%
2. Connie Johnson 12.6
3. Norman Brown 3.6
4. Undecided 49.6

The primary election will be June 26, 2018.

As we reported last week, the same poll found strong support for teachers as they prepared for this week's walkout to demand more funding for public education.

About the Poll

SoonerPoll.com, Oklahoma’s public opinion pollster, conducted the poll of Oklahoma likely voters, which was commissioned by News9 and Newson6.

The scientific study was conducted March 14-22, 2018 with 557 likely Oklahoma voters selected at random statewide from a dual frame of SoonerPoll's online panel and landline telephones which were conducted using IVR (Interactive Voice Response) technology. The sample included 291 Republicans, 224 Democrats and 40 Independents who were asked the Democratic ballot since they are eligible to vote in the Democratic primary.

The sample was weighted by age, gender, political party and congressional district in order to reflect the Oklahoma likely voter population for a general election.

The sample reflects the traditional demographical profile of the Oklahoma likely voter with roughly half of respondents identifying as conservative. The study has a Margin of Error (MoE) of ± 4.15 percent. The Margin of Error for the Republican ballot was ±5.74 percent and ± 6.04 percent for the Democratic ballot.

Bill Shapard
About the Author

Bill Shapard

Bill is the founder of SoonerPoll.com and ShapardResearch, a full service market research firm based in Oklahoma City. Bill began his career in polling after working on major campaigns for both Republicans and Democrats in Oklahoma from 1996 until founding SoonerPoll in 2004.