cd1By RANDY KREHBIEL World Staff Writer

Republican Jim Bridenstine appears headed to victory by a wide margin in the 1st Congressional District, according to the latest Oklahoma Poll.

Bridenstine was the choice of 55 percent of the 428 likely voters surveyed Oct. 25-31 by Democrat John Olson was at 24 percent, and independent Craig Allen was at 4 percent.

Seventeen percent were undecided.

The three have engaged in a lively campaign since Bridenstine knocked out incumbent John Sullivan in the June 26 Republican primary. Olson had hoped to pick up crossover votes from Sullivan loyalists and from moderate Republicans, but the survey indicates that that hasn’t happened.

Only 5 percent of the Republicans surveyed said they would vote for Olson, the same percentage as said they would vote for Allen. Seventy-seven percent of the Republicans said they would vote for Bridenstine.

Bridenstine, on the other hand, gets nearly 30 percent of the Democratic vote.

“I’m pulling for him, and I know my wife is, too, even though she’s a Democrat,” said Keith Mangrum of Mounds.


Continued – Click here to read the entire Tulsa World article


About the poll

The poll of 300 likely voters was conducted by using a random digit dialing technique that included both cellphone and landline telephone numbers.

Interviewers collected the data Oct. 25-31. Results were weighted by gender, political party and phone status (cell phone only/landline only/both). The Tulsa World sponsored the poll.

The margin of error is plus or minus 5.66 percentage points. This poll conforms to the Standards of Disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls. A complete description of the methodology can be found here.

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Bill is the founder of and ShapardResearch, a full service market research firm based in Oklahoma City. Bill began his career in polling after working on a major campaign in Oklahoma from 1996 until founding SoonerPoll in 2004. Under Bill’s leadership, SoonerPoll has become the leading public opinion polling company in the state of Oklahoma conducting more public opinion polls for Oklahoma news media than all other pollsters combined since 2006. Bill’s commitment to go above and beyond the AAPOR ethical guidelines of minimum disclosure ensures that SoonerPoll produces quality results every time. Bill has lectured at Oklahoma State University on developing polling methodologies, data collection processes, and advanced likely voter sampling techniques. Bill also serves as an on-air political commentator for Oklahoma television stations.


    • Assuming you felt Bridenstine at 55% was too high and Olson was more competitive than the 24% in the poll, Bridenstine won with 63.5% of the vote a week later.


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