By RANDY KREHBIEL World Staff Writer

The SoonerPoll survey may signal problems for Dems holding Boren seat.

Presumptive GOP presidential nominee Mitt Romney may not have done all that well in the state Republican primary, but state voters apparently will take him just about any day over President Barack Obama.

Sixty-two percent of the 504 likely voters, including Democrats and independents, surveyed by May 7-10 said they would vote for Romney, compared to only 27 percent for Obama.

Eleven percent were undecided.

“I think we’ve found the bottom threshold of the Democratic vote,” said SoonerPoll President Bill Shapard.

That Obama is unpopular in Oklahoma, even among Democrats, is not news. He lost the 2008 Democratic primary to Hilary Clinton by a wide margin and got only 34 percent of the general election vote.

Since taking office, Obama’s approval rating, as measured by SoonerPoll, has been at or around 30 percent.

In March, the incumbent president managed only 57 percent of the vote against four largely unknown candidates, and just 42 percent in the 2nd Congressional District, where registered Democrats outnumber Republicans 2 1/2 to 1.

That raises the issue of how much, if any, Obama might weigh down Democrats statewide and particularly in the 2nd Congressional District, which has a wide-open race to succeed Democrat Dan Boren.

Continued –  Click here to read the entire Tulsa World article


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Bill is the founder of and ShapardResearch, a full service market research firm based in Oklahoma City. Bill began his career in polling after working on a major campaign in Oklahoma from 1996 until founding SoonerPoll in 2004. Under Bill’s leadership, SoonerPoll has become the leading public opinion polling company in the state of Oklahoma conducting more public opinion polls for Oklahoma news media than all other pollsters combined since 2006. Bill’s commitment to go above and beyond the AAPOR ethical guidelines of minimum disclosure ensures that SoonerPoll produces quality results every time. Bill has lectured at Oklahoma State University on developing polling methodologies, data collection processes, and advanced likely voter sampling techniques. Bill also serves as an on-air political commentator for Oklahoma television stations.


  1. Romney’s number in this poll isn’t actually THAT great. McCain won this state with 66% of the vote in 2008, so unless Romney gets to at least that number, it means that he is probably going to have trouble in other more competitive states.

    • That’s not the way to look at it, Rosanna. Obama garners 27% of the Oklahoma electorate whereas in 2008, he won 34% of that same electorate. He’s down 7%, which is about the percentage he’s lost – on average – across the country. The bulk of the undecideds will probably break for Romney, pushing his total higher than McCain’s.

      Obama supporters looking for good news can look to yesterday’s Tennessee poll, which shows Obama’s support about where it was in 2008. I haven’t analyzed the internals of that one, though.


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