Statewide
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September 29, 2016
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Bill Shapard

Oklahoman: One in four Oklahoma voters would vote to secede if Clinton were elected, poll finds

By Silas Allen, The Oklahoman

Just months after voters in the United Kingdom approved the so-called Brexit proposal, a growing number of Oklahomans want to stage their own Oklahexit, a new poll shows.

About one in four Oklahoma likely voters, including about two in five supporters of Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump, would want the state and Texas to secede from the Union if Hillary Clinton were elected president, the poll shows.

texassecede2

Supporters acknowledge the possibility of breaking with the United States is remote, but say they're concerned about the direction the country is headed.

“I used to be an optimist. But that's changed," said Rick Larson, of Lawton. "I'm a realist now.”

Larson, 53, said he thinks a Clinton administration would be an extension of federal policies he thinks are damaging the country, including increased gun control and "redistribution of wealth."

CLICK HERE FOR LINK TO 2009 TEXAS SECESSION POLL

Although he thinks Oklahoma and Texas could stand on their own as a single, separate nation, he doesn't think they'd be alone.

“If that ball started rolling, I think there would be other states that would follow along," he said.

ContinuedClick here to read the entire Oklahoman article

[QUESTION] If Texas were to vote in favor of secession from the United States, would you vote for or against Oklahoma secession if a secession state question was placed on the ballot?

1. For 25.9%
2. Against 57.3
3. Don't know/refused [DNR] 16.8

About the Poll

SoonerPoll.com, Oklahoma’s public opinion pollster, asked these questions of Oklahoma likely voters as part of the SoonerPoll Quarterly Poll.

The scientific study was conducted from September 13-15, 2016 with 515 likely Oklahoma voters selected at random statewide from a tri-frame of both landline telephone and cell phones, plus a online panel from Research Now. The sample was weighted by age, political party, and congressional district in order to reflect the Oklahoma likely voter population for a general election. The weighting was conducted using a 'layered technique.'

The sample reflects the traditional demographical profile of the Oklahoma likely voter with roughly half of respondents identifying as conservative and attending religious services once or more per week. The study has a Margin of Error (MoE) of ± 4.32 percent.

This poll not only conforms to the Standards of Disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls but exceeds the standard disclosure with a Call Disposition and Rate Calculation Report. A complete description of the methodology can be found here.

The poll's Call Disposition and Rate Calculation Report can be viewed here.  A beta version of the Weighting Table Report can be viewed here.

Bill Shapard
About the Author

Bill Shapard

Bill is the founder of SoonerPoll.com and ShapardResearch, a full service market research firm based in Oklahoma City. Bill began his career in polling after working on major campaigns for both Republicans and Democrats in Oklahoma from 1996 until founding SoonerPoll in 2004.